Simplified: Global Peace Index 2025
Here is a simplified look at the Global Peace Index. Find the details you need to know.

Top 10 Most Peaceful Countries in the World
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Change from 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 1.095 | No change |
| 2 | Ireland | 1.260 | No change |
| 3 | New Zealand | 1.282 | ↑ 2 places |
| 4 | Austria | 1.294 | ↓ 1 place |
| 5 | Switzerland | 1.294 | ↓ 1 place |
| 6 | Singapore | 1.357 | No change |
| 7 | Portugal | 1.371 | ↑ 1 place |
| 8 | Denmark | 1.393 | ↓ 1 place |
| 9 | Slovenia | 1.409 | No change |
| 10 | Finland | 1.420 | ↑ 1 place |
Key Insight: Iceland has held the position of the world’s most peaceful country since 2008, with a score gap between 1st and 2nd place equal to the gap between 2nd and 10th place.
10 Least Peaceful Countries in the World
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Change from 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | Russia | 3.441 | ↓ 2 places |
| 162 | Ukraine | 3.434 | ↓ 3 places |
| 161 | Sudan | 3.323 | ↑ 2 places |
| 160 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3.292 | ↓ 3 places |
| 159 | Yemen | 3.262 | ↑ 3 places |
| 158 | Afghanistan | 3.229 | ↑ 2 places |
| 157 | Syria | 3.184 | ↓ 1 place |
| 156 | South Sudan | 3.117 | ↑ 2 places |
| 155 | Israel | 3.108 | No change |
| 154 | Mali | 3.061 | ↓ 1 place |
Key Insight: Russia has become the least peaceful country in the world for the first time in GPI history, displacing Yemen, which held that position previously.
Africa’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mauritius | 1.586 | 26 |
| 2 | Botswana | 1.743 | 43 |
| 3 | Namibia | 1.789 | 50 |
| 4 | The Gambia | 1.855 | 55 |
| 5 | Sierra Leone | 1.887 | 57 |
Key Insight: Mauritius has maintained its position as Africa’s most peaceful country for 18 consecutive years and is the only African nation with zero involvement in internal or external conflicts over the past six years.
Africa’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan | 3.323 | 161 |
| 2 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3.292 | 160 |
| 3 | South Sudan | 3.117 | 156 |
| 4 | Mali | 3.061 | 154 |
| 5 | Burkina Faso | 3.016 | 152 |
Key Insight: The Democratic Republic of the Congo recorded Africa’s largest deterioration (4.5%) in 2025 due to the M23 rebel conflict, with an estimated 7,000 people killed in early 2025 alone.
Europe’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 1.095 | 1 |
| 2 | Ireland | 1.260 | 2 |
| 3 | Austria | 1.294 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 1.294 | 5 |
| 5 | Portugal | 1.371 | 7 |
Key Insight: Iceland has held the position of the world’s most peaceful country since 2008, with a score gap between 1st and 2nd place equal to the gap between 2nd and 10th place globally.
Europe’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russia | 3.441 | 163 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 3.434 | 162 |
| 3 | Türkiye | 2.852 | 146 |
| 4 | Belarus | 2.267 | 119 |
| 5 | Georgia | 2.185 | 109 |
Key Insight: Russia became the least peaceful country in the world for the first time in GPI history, while Ukraine recorded an 8.2% deterioration, its worst ranking ever at 162nd globally.
Asia’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 1.357 | 6 |
| 2 | Japan | 1.440 | 12 |
| 3 | Malaysia | 1.469 | 13 |
| 4 | Bhutan | 1.536 | 21 |
| 5 | Taiwan | 1.730 | 40 |
Key Insight: Singapore ranks as the 6th most peaceful country globally and has a perfect score of 1.000 on the Ongoing Conflict domain.
Asia’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afghanistan | 3.229 | 158 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 3.045 | 153 |
| 3 | North Korea | 2.911 | 149 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 2.797 | 144 |
| 5 | Bangladesh | 2.318 | 123 |
Key Insight: Afghanistan has been the least peaceful country in Asia since the GPI’s inception in 2008 and holds the lowest global ranking on the Safety and Security domain.
Middle East’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Qatar | 1.593 | 27 |
| 2 | Kuwait | 1.642 | 31 |
| 3 | Oman | 1.738 | 42 |
| 4 | United Arab Emirates | 1.812 | 52 |
| 5 | Jordan | 1.957 | 72 |
Key Insight: Qatar is the most peaceful country in the Middle East, and one of only three countries in the region ranked among the 50 most peaceful globally.
Middle East’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 3.262 | 159 |
| 2 | Syria | 3.184 | 157 |
| 3 | Israel | 3.108 | 155 |
| 4 | Iraq | 2.862 | 147 |
| 5 | Palestine | 2.811 | 145 |
Key Insight: The Middle East and North Africa have been the world’s least peaceful region for 10 consecutive years, with four of the global ten least peaceful countries located in this region.
North America and Central America’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 1.491 | 14 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 1.843 | 54 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 1.996 | 79 |
| 4 | Panama | 2.006 | 84 |
| 5 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2.020 | 89 |
Key Insight: Despite being North America’s most peaceful country, Canada recorded the region’s largest deterioration (5.8%) due to rising violent crime and tensions with the United States under new tariff policies.
North America and Central America’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 2.731 | 141 |
| 2 | Mexico | 2.636 | 135 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 2.459 | 129 |
| 4 | United States of America | 2.443 | 128 |
| 5 | Honduras | 2.347 | 124 |
Key Insight: Haiti improved by 1.5% despite remaining the region’s least peaceful country, following the establishment of a Transitional Presidential Council and UN peacekeeping support that helped curb gang violence.
South America’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 1.768 | 46 |
| 2 | Uruguay | 1.784 | 48 |
| 3 | Chile | 1.899 | 62 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 1.981 | 75 |
| 5 | Bolivia | 2.005 | 83 |
Key Insight: Argentina recorded a 3.8% improvement in peacefulness, driven by economic stabilization under President Milei’s austerity reforms that contained risks of mass protests.
South America’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 2.695 | 140 |
| 2 | Venezuela | 2.692 | 139 |
| 3 | Brazil | 2.472 | 130 |
| 4 | Ecuador | 2.459 | 129 |
| 5 | Guyana | 2.149 | 106 |
Key Insight: Colombia has been South America’s least peaceful country for five consecutive years, though it improved by 0.55% in 2025 due to pension reforms and land laws aimed at reducing inequality.
Oceania’s Most Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 1.282 | 3 |
| 2 | Australia | 1.505 | 18 |
Key Insight: New Zealand ranks as the 3rd most peaceful country in the world and improved by 3.1% in 2025, with significant gains on violent demonstrations and terrorism impact indicators.
Oceania’s Least Peaceful Countries
| Rank | Country | GPI Score | Global Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea | 2.230 | 116 |
| 2 | Timor-Leste | 1.758 | 44 |
Key Insight: Papua New Guinea deteriorated by 7.5% in 2025 and ranks 116th globally, while Timor-Leste improved by 5.4% to reach its most peaceful score since joining the GPI.
Continental Comparison (Most vs Least Peaceful Gap)
| Continent/Region | Most Peaceful | Score | Least Peaceful | Score | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | Iceland | 1.095 | Russia | 3.441 | 2.346 |
| Asia | Singapore | 1.357 | Afghanistan | 3.229 | 1.872 |
| Middle East | Qatar | 1.593 | Yemen | 3.262 | 1.669 |
| Africa | Mauritius | 1.586 | Sudan | 3.323 | 1.737 |
| North America | Canada | 1.491 | Haiti | 2.731 | 1.240 |
| South America | Argentina | 1.768 | Colombia | 2.695 | 0.927 |
| Oceania | New Zealand | 1.282 | Papua New Guinea | 2.230 | 0.948 |
17-Year Trend – Global Peacefulness Deterioration (2008-2025)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Overall deterioration in peacefulness | 5.4% |
| Countries that became less peaceful | 94 |
| Countries that improved | 66 |
| Countries with no change | 1 |
| Years of deterioration (out of 17) | 13 |
| Consecutive years of decline (current) | 6 |
| Years since last improvement | Since 2013 |
Key Insight: Global peacefulness has deteriorated for 13 of the past 17 years, with no improvement recorded since 2013.
Domain Performance Changes (2008-2025)
| Domain | Change Since 2008 | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Ongoing Conflict | 17.5% deterioration | ↓ Worse |
| Safety and Security | 2.5% deterioration | ↓ Worse |
| Militarisation | 2.7% improvement | ↑ Better |
Key Insight: While Militarisation improved over 17 years, this trend has reversed since 2022 as countries respond to rising geopolitical tensions.
Regional Peace Rankings 2025
| Rank | Region | Average GPI Score | Year-on-Year Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western and Central Europe | 1.588 | ↓ 0.57% deterioration |
| 2 | Asia-Pacific | 1.882 | ↓ 0.21% deterioration |
| 3 | Central and North America | 2.157 | ↓ 0.7% deterioration |
| 4 | South America | 2.180 | ↑ 0.59% improvement |
| 5 | Eastern Europe and Central Asia | 2.213 | ↓ 0.77% deterioration |
| 6 | sub-Saharan Africa | 2.299 | ↓ 0.17% deterioration |
| 7 | South Asia | 2.310 | ↓ deterioration |
| 8 | Middle East and North Africa | 2.377 | ↓ 0.17% deterioration |
Key Insight: South America was the only region in the world to record an improvement in peacefulness in 2025, with 7 of its 11 countries improving.
Active State-Based Conflicts
| Year | Number of Active State-Based Conflicts |
|---|---|
| 2008 | 59 countries involved in external conflicts |
| 2023 | 59 active state-based conflicts (highest since WWII) |
| 2024 | 62+ active state-based conflicts |
| Countries with 1,000+ conflict deaths (2024) | 17 |
| Countries with 100+ conflict deaths (2024) | 18 additional |
| Countries involved in external conflicts (2024) | 98 |
Key Insight: There are now 59 active state-based conflicts worldwide, the highest number since the end of World War II, with 98 countries involved in some form of external conflict.
Conflict Death Statistics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Increase in deaths from internal conflict (2008-2025) | 438% |
| Countries with at least one conflict death (2024) | 75 |
| Deaths from conflict in 2022 (peak year) | ~312,000 |
| Deaths in Ethiopia alone (2022) | 165,000+ |
| Deaths from Ukraine, Palestine, Russia (2024) | 63% of global total |
| Estimated deaths in Gaza conflict (as of 2025) | 63,750+ |
Key Insight: Three-quarters of all war deaths since 1800 occurred in just World War I and World War II, with 90% happening in the ten deadliest wars.
How Conflicts End (Historical Comparison)
| Conflict Ending Type | 1970s | 2010s | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clear Victory (Government or Rebel) | 49% | 9% | -40 percentage points |
| Peace Agreement | 23% | 4% | -19 percentage points |
| Low Activity (Unresolved) | ~20% | ~70% | +50 percentage points |
| Ceasefire | Stable | Stable | No change |
Key Insight: Conflicts ending in decisive victory dropped from 49% in the 1970s to just 9% in the 2010s, while unresolved “frozen conflicts” surged from 20% to 70%.
Refugee and Displacement Crisis
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total forcibly displaced people worldwide (2024) | 122+ million |
| Increase since 2008 | 185% |
| Internally displaced people (of total) | 72 million |
| Countries where 5%+ population displaced | 17 |
| Displaced people from 4 countries (Afghanistan, Syria, Ukraine, Venezuela) | 50%+ of all refugees |
| Internally displaced in Gaza Strip (mid-2024) | 1.7 million |
Key Insight: The number of forcibly displaced people has nearly tripled since 2008, reaching over 122 million, equivalent to the 12th largest country by population.
Military Expenditure Trends
| Metric | 2024 Value |
|---|---|
| Global military expenditure | $2.7 trillion |
| Year-on-year increase | 9.4% (steepest since 1988) |
| Military spending per capita (global) | $334 |
| Countries that increased military spending | 84 |
| Countries that decreased military spending | 50 |
| Militarisation domain deterioration (2 years) | Yes – trend reversed |
Key Insight: Global military spending hit a record $2.7 trillion in 2024 with a 9.4% increase, the steepest year-on-year rise documented since at least 1988.
Top Military Spenders by Different Metrics
| By Total Spending | By % of GDP | By Per Capita |
|---|---|---|
| 1. United States ($949B) | 1. North Korea (34.4%) | 1. North Korea ($9,929) |
| 2. China ($450B) | 2. Ukraine (17.1%) | 2. Qatar ($5,621) |
| 3. Russia ($352B) | 3. Afghanistan (15.3%) | 3. Singapore ($4,162) |
| 4. India ($282B) | 4. Algeria (9.1%) | 4. Saudi Arabia ($3,984) |
| 5. North Korea ($263B) | 5. Palestinian Territories (9.1%) | 5. Israel ($3,459) |
Key Insight: North Korea leads both in military spending as a percentage of GDP (34.4%) and per capita spending ($9,929), despite its small economy.
Economic Impact of Violence (2024)
| Category | Cost (PPP 2024 US$) | % of Total |
|---|---|---|
| Military Expenditure | $9.0 trillion | 45% |
| Internal Security Expenditure | $5.7 trillion | 29% |
| Private Security | $1.5 trillion | 8% |
| Homicide | $1.1 trillion | 6% |
| Suicide | $758 billion | 4% |
| Violent Crime | $617 billion | 3% |
| GDP Losses from Conflict | $462 billion | 2% |
| Refugees and IDPs | $353 billion | 2% |
| Other (incarceration, fear, conflict deaths, etc.) | $452 billion | 2% |
| TOTAL | $19.97 trillion | 100% |
Key Insight: The global economic impact of violence equals $19.97 trillion, 11.6% of global GDP or $2,455 per person on Earth.
Countries Most Affected by Violence (% of GDP)
| Rank | Country | Economic Cost of Violence (% of GDP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afghanistan | 41.6% |
| 2 | Ukraine | 40.9% |
| 3 | North Korea | 39.1% |
| 4 | Syria | 34.0% |
| 5 | Somalia | 24.7% |
| 6 | Central African Republic | 22.5% |
| 7 | Colombia | 19.7% |
| 8 | Palestinian Territories | 19.4% |
| 9 | Burkina Faso | 19.0% |
| 10 | Cyprus | 16.8% |
| Average (10 most affected) | 27.8% | |
| Average (10 most peaceful) | 2.5% |
Key Insight: The economic cost of violence for the 10 most affected countries averages 27.8% of GDP, more than 11 times higher than the 2.5% average for the 10 most peaceful countries.
Peacebuilding vs Military Spending
| Year | Peacebuilding & Peacekeeping Spending | As % of Military Spending |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $64 billion | 0.83% |
| 2024 | $47.2 billion | 0.52% |
| Change | -26% (real terms decline) | -37% relative decline |
| UN Peacekeeping troops decline (10 years) | 42% reduction | – |
Key Insight: Spending on peacebuilding and peacekeeping has declined 26% in real terms since 2008, now representing just 0.52% of military expenditure, while conflicts have increased.
Terrorism Impact by Region
| Region | Key Statistics |
|---|---|
| Sahel Region (Africa) | More terrorism deaths than South Asia and MENA combined |
| Burkina Faso | Highest terrorism impact in the world |
| Countries in top 10 for terrorism (from sub-Saharan Africa) | 6 out of 10 |
| Countries affected by terrorism (2023) | 58 |
| Countries affected by terrorism (2024) | 66 |
| Peak global terrorism deaths | 2016 (~11,000 deaths) |
Key Insight: The epicenter of global terrorism has shifted from the Middle East to sub-Saharan Africa, with the Sahel region now experiencing more terrorism deaths than South Asia and MENA combined.
Countries with Largest Improvements (2024-2025)
| Rank | Country | Score Improvement | Rank Change | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 5.6% improvement | ↑ 17 places | End of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 5.2% improvement | ↑ 14 places | Diplomatic outreach, Vision 2030 |
| 3 | Uganda | 4.5% improvement | ↑ 12 places | Reduced terrorism, conflict deaths |
| 4 | Peru | 4.5% improvement | ↑ 14 places | Decline in civil unrest |
| 5 | The Gambia | 4.9% improvement | ↑ 16 places | Improved political terror scale |
Key Insight: Azerbaijan’s 5.6% improvement was driven by a 100% reduction in both internal and external conflict deaths following the end of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
Countries with Largest Deteriorations (2024-2025)
| Rank | Country | Score Deterioration | Rank Change | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh | 13.2% deterioration | ↓ 33 places | Mass protests, government crackdown |
| 2 | Ukraine | 8.2% deterioration | ↓ 3 places | Ongoing war with Russia |
| 3 | Russia | 6.5% deterioration | ↓ 2 places | War in Ukraine, Kursk offensive |
| 4 | DR Congo | 4.4% deterioration | ↓ 3 places | M23 rebel conflict |
| 5 | Myanmar | 4.0% deterioration | ↓ 3 places | Intensified civil war |
Key Insight: Bangladesh experienced the largest deterioration of any country, dropping 33 places after internal conflict deaths surged from 12 in 2023 to 436 in 2024—a 3,500% increase.
Violent Demonstrations Trend (2008-2025)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Average deterioration globally | 30.4% |
| Countries that deteriorated | 109 |
| Countries that improved | 29 |
| Countries unchanged | 23 |
| Worst performing indicator for deterioration | Violent demonstrations |
| Region with largest deterioration | South Asia (107%) |
| Country with largest deterioration | Bangladesh |
Key Insight: More countries deteriorated on violent demonstrations than any other GPI indicator over 17 years, with 109 countries experiencing increases in protest violence.
Global Homicide Rate Trends
| Year | Global Average Homicide Rate (per 100,000) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | 7.7 |
| 2025 | 6.0 |
| Improvement | 22% reduction |
| Countries with reduced homicide rates | 122 |
| Countries with rate < 1 per 100,000 | 40 |
| Countries with rate < 2 per 100,000 | 64 |
Key Insight: The global average homicide rate has fallen 22% since 2008, with 122 countries recording reductions, making it one of the few consistently improving indicators.
El Salvador’s Remarkable Transformation
| Year | Homicide Rate (per 100,000) | Citizens Feeling Unsafe |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 65.4 | 53% |
| 2015 (peak) | 108.0 | – |
| 2021 | 17.3 | – |
| 2022 | 7.8 | – |
| 2023-2024 | < 2.5 | 11% |
| Incarceration rate (2024) | Highest in the world | 1%+ of population jailed |
Key Insight: El Salvador’s homicide rate plummeted from 108 per 100,000 in 2015 to under 2.5 in 2024, one of the largest recorded reductions, though at the cost of having the world’s highest incarceration rate.
European Defense Challenge (Spending vs Capability)
| Metric | European NATO | Russia |
|---|---|---|
| Military Expenditure | ~4x higher | Baseline |
| Combined Military Capability | Only ~33% higher | Baseline |
| Countries increasing military spending (2024) | 24 | 1 |
| Key Challenge | Fragmentation, lack of integration | Single command structure |
Key Insight: European NATO countries outspend Russia by nearly 4 to 1, yet their combined military capability is only about one-third higher due to fragmentation and lack of integration.
Geopolitical Fragmentation Indicators
| Indicator | 1970s | 2023/2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Countries with significant global influence | 6 | 34 | +467% |
| Trade restrictive measures (annual) | ~1,000 | ~3,000 | +200% |
| Trade as % of GDP | 40% | 60% (plateaued) | Stalled since 2008 |
| Internationalised intrastate conflicts | Baseline | +175% since 2010 | Major increase |
| Countries in conflicts beyond borders | 59 (2008) | 78 (2023) | +32% |
Key Insight: The number of globally influential countries has nearly tripled from 13 during the Cold War to 34 by 2023, signaling an era of “global power fragmentation.”
Nuclear Weapons Status
| Country/Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Russia (active warheads) | In thousands |
| United States | In thousands |
| China | In hundreds |
| France + United Kingdom (combined) | In hundreds |
| States with nuclear capabilities | 9 |
| Nuclear stockpile actions since 2022 | All nuclear states maintained or expanded |
| Disarmament progress | Stagnated |
Key Insight: Every nuclear-armed state has held or expanded its arsenal since 2022, with great-power rivalry fueling an arms race in advanced technologies from AI-enabled drones to counter-space systems.
Debt Crisis and Conflict Risk
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Global public debt (2023) | $97 trillion |
| Developing countries debt growth vs advanced (since 2010) | 2x faster |
| Developing countries’ average debt servicing | 42% of government revenue |
| Countries spending 10%+ of revenue on interest | 50+ |
| People living in countries prioritizing debt over services | 3.3 billion |
| Sub-Saharan African countries spending 20%+ on debt servicing | 80%+ |
Key Insight: Developing countries now spend an average of 42% of government revenue on debt servicing, often exceeding spending on education or healthcare.
Youth Unemployment and Instability
| Region | Youth Unemployment Rate (2023) |
|---|---|
| Middle East and North Africa | 24.5% |
| Global Average | ~14% |
| Gap (MENA vs Global) | +10.5 percentage points |
| Regions projected for youth labor force growth through 2050 | MENA, sub-Saharan Africa |
Key Insight: Youth unemployment in MENA at 24.5% is nearly double the global average, creating conditions for instability in a region projected to see continued youth population growth through 2050.
Media Coverage Disparity in Conflicts
| Country Income Level | Median Articles per Civilian Death |
|---|---|
| High-income countries | 1,663 |
| Upper-middle-income | ~200 |
| Lower-middle-income | ~50 |
| Low-income countries | 17.4 |
Key Insight: Civilian deaths in high-income countries receive nearly 100 times more media coverage than equivalent deaths in low-income countries.
Conflict Coverage by Type
| Conflict Type | Median Articles per Civilian Death |
|---|---|
| Interstate conflicts | ~870 |
| Intrastate conflicts | ~37 |
| Internationalised intrastate | ~18 |
Key Insight: Interstate conflicts receive 23 times more media coverage per civilian death than internationalised intrastate conflicts, despite the latter being far more common.
Countries with Least vs Most Conflict Coverage
| Least Coverage (Articles per Death) | Most Coverage (Articles per Death) |
|---|---|
| Burkina Faso: 0.6 | Russia: 14,269 |
| Ethiopia: 0.7 | Azerbaijan: 3,742 |
| Mali: 1.0 | Lebanon: 2,372 |
| Cameroon: 1.9 | Israel: 1,663 |
| Haiti: 2.6 | Iran: 1,647 |
Key Insight: Russia’s conflict receives over 23,000 times more media coverage per civilian death than Burkina Faso’s conflict, despite both experiencing significant violence.
Nine Conflict Escalation Factors
| Factor | Description | Example Conflicts |
|---|---|---|
| Urban origin onset | Conflict starts in/near capital, threatens regime | Sudan, South Sudan, Syria |
| Accessible terrain | Open terrain enables conventional warfare | Russia-Ukraine, Sudan |
| High logistical supply | Sustained supply enables prolonged high-intensity | Syria, Russia-Ukraine |
| Non-state actor heavy weapons | Rebels with artillery, aircraft capabilities | Tigray, Yemen, Syria |
| Significant external support | Foreign arms, troops, intelligence, safe haven | Yemen, Sudan, Syria |
| Private military contractors | Professional mercenary forces involved | Mali, Iraq, Syria |
| High ethnic exclusion | Dominant ethnic group excludes others | Myanmar, South Sudan |
| Fratricidal coercion | Execution of deserters, blocking detachments | Russia-Ukraine, Syria |
| Conflict instrumentalisation | Overlay of nationalist/ideological narratives | Darfur, Eastern DRC, Mali |
Key Insight: All 62 current state-based conflict dyads analyzed have at least one escalation factor scoring 3 or higher, indicating significant risk of intensification.
High-Risk Escalation Hotspots (2025)
| Conflict | Escalation Factors Present | Key Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Republic of Congo | 5 high-scoring factors | M23 rebel advance, Rwandan involvement |
| South Sudan | 5 high-scoring factors | Peace agreement collapse |
| Syria | 5 high-scoring factors | Post-Assad fragmentation |
| Ethiopia-Eritrea | 4 high-scoring factors | Red Sea access dispute |
| Kashmir (India-Pakistan) | 4 high-scoring factors | Nuclear-armed rivals, April 2025 attack |
Key Insight: The April 2025 terror attack in Kashmir sparked reprisals and halted dialogue, bringing nuclear-armed India and Pakistan closer to open war than at any point in recent years.
2025 GPI Indicator Changes Summary
| Direction | Number of Indicators |
|---|---|
| Improved | 8 |
| Deteriorated | 13 |
| No change | 2 |
| Total | 23 |
| Largest Deteriorations | Largest Improvements |
|---|---|
| External conflicts fought | Perceptions of criminality |
| Deaths from internal conflict | Political terror scale |
| Military expenditure (% GDP) | Violent demonstrations |
| Weapons imports | Homicide rate |
Key Insight: Thirteen of 23 GPI indicators deteriorated in 2025, with external conflicts fought showing the largest decline as more countries become involved in overseas military operations.
References
DataGlobeHub makes use of the best available data sources to support each publication. We prioritize sources of good reputation, like government sources, authoritative sources, expert sources, and well-researched publications. When citing our sources, we provide the report title followed by the publication name. Where not applicable, we provide just the publication name.
- Global Peace Index – Vision of Humanity
- War and Peace – Our World in Data



